What influences crude oil more? US bombs or Iran's silent allies

After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.

• Dec 7, 2018Who really influences the price of oil?+2.2%
• Nov 16, 2016Oil volatile as U.S. crude build faces OPEC freeze hopes+4.5%
• Oct 30, 2024What's in Store for the Oil and Gas Markets in Q4? - FocusEconomics+7.2%
• Apr 6, 2026OPEC+ to hike crude output: Will it make a difference to oil prices? | Euronews-9.7%
• Apr 29, 2026In five charts: How UAE's exit could affect Opec's influence over the oil price-1.9%

After 60 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -4.7% to +2.3%), and -1.9% over 20.

• Dec 7, 2018Who really influences the price of oil?+2.2%
• Nov 16, 2016Oil volatile as U.S. crude build faces OPEC freeze hopes+4.8%
• Oct 30, 2024What's in Store for the Oil and Gas Markets in Q4? - FocusEconomics+7.1%
• Apr 6, 2026OPEC+ to hike crude output: Will it make a difference to oil prices? | Euronews-13.2%
• Apr 29, 2026In five charts: How UAE's exit could affect Opec's influence over the oil price+2.2%