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Sovereign bond yields have risen this year on prospects for U.S. fiscal stimulus and COVID-19 vaccine rollout. The increase has spilled over into real yields, meaning borrowing costs adjusted for inflation.
Rising real yields raise the opportunity cost of holding commodities and can strengthen the dollar. This is a background macro pressure on commodity prices rather than a direct supply or demand shift.
reuters.comDhara RanasingheFeb 24, 2021After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
