
The National Turkey Federation says US turkey farmers raised about 198.5 million birds in 2026, a 3% increase and the first growth since 2023. Retail prices for frozen whole turkeys are slightly higher than last year, with birds under 16 pounds averaging $1.19 per pound versus $0.93 a year earlier.
Industry officials expect ample supply for the holiday.
Higher turkey output and limited avian flu losses point to adequate supply, which caps wholesale price gains. Feed demand from the larger flock is a small support for corn and soybean meal.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.