
Russia's grain and leguminous harvest is nearly complete at about 140 million tonnes in bunker weight, including over 95 million tonnes of wheat. Major oilseed output reached 34.8 million tonnes, up 13% year on year, with projections above 35 million tonnes.
A large Russian wheat and oilseed crop adds export supply that can pressure world wheat and sunflower meal prices, although logistics constraints through the Azov-Black Sea basin could limit how quickly that supply reaches buyers.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.