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Gevo reported record Q3 2026 revenue of $82.95 million and adjusted EBITDA of $44 million, with 77.5% of revenue from carbon credits and tax credit sales. Management raised 2026 EBITDA guidance to over $90 million and plans to double North Dakota ethanol capacity to 150 million gallons by 2028.
Gevo's earnings depend on policy-driven credits rather than fuel margins, and its capacity expansion would add ethanol supply over time. The effect on feed commodity prices is small.
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Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.