
The New Zealand dollar fell to just above 0.5560 as the US dollar extended broad gains after hawkish Fed comments and a hot CPI print. Markets priced in more aggressive US rate hikes over the coming year while US cash bonds were closed for a holiday.
A stronger US dollar and higher rate expectations pressure commodity prices in dollar terms, which can soften demand for feed inputs. Currency moves in exporting countries can also shift the competitiveness of their supply.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.