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The IEA October 2023 Oil Market Report found evidence of demand destruction, with US gasoline consumption at two-decade lows. It forecast global oil demand growth of 2.3 mb/d in 2023 and said the Israel-Hamas conflict had not directly affected oil flows.
Demand weakness in mature markets and rising non-OPEC+ supply point to a softer crude balance. This is bearish for energy costs that feed to animal-feed producers.
iea.orgOct 12, 2023After 41 past neutral report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -4.0% to +1.9%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 56 past neutral report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +2.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
