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USDA’s November WASDE raised its estimate of U.S. soybean oil use for biofuel production in the 2025–26 marketing year. The headline does not specify the size of the increase.
Higher projected biofuel use implies stronger demand for soybean oil, which could support prices.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.