Loading…
Oil prices jumped nearly 6% on Friday, with Brent posting its highest weekly gain since February. Investors priced in the risk that the Middle East conflict could widen as Israel began ground raids into Gaza.
Fears of disruption to the Middle East, a region supplying roughly a third of global oil, lift crude prices. Higher crude raises diesel and energy costs for feed mills, transport and grain drying.
reuters.comStephanie KellyOct 13, 2023After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Oil jumped nearly 6% on Oct 13 as Israel began ground raids into Gaza, raising the risk of a wider Middle East conflict and a supply risk premium, which directly matches the one-day move.
