Ukrainian sunflower prices have fallen enough that domestic sales are unprofitable for farmers whose growing costs average 15,000–16,000 hryvnias. Analysts say exports to Bulgaria and Turkey can still generate profits, while processing plants are earning stronger margins; prices could recover by spring.
Lower farmgate prices and stronger processor margins indicate ample sunflower supply relative to current demand, weighing on sunflower seed values while supporting processor economics. Export demand from Bulgaria and Turkey may help limit the downside for Ukrainian sellers.
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