China’s three leading listed hog producers—Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group and New Hope—sold a combined 10.45 million hogs in October, with volumes down year on year and average prices broadly below CNY 10/kg. Prices reached about CNY 8.6/kg amid ample supply and weak demand, while delayed marketings and soft consumption contributed to falling prices and sales revenue; industry participants say sow liquidation is being offset by higher productivity per sow.
The combination of weak demand and abundant production is bearish for hog prices and reduces incentives and cash flow for producers, potentially prompting output cuts. Higher productivity may delay any supply tightening from sow liquidation, while weaker hog-sector profitability can weigh on feed demand.
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