U.S. turkey production is recovering after two years of declines: an estimated 198.5 million birds were raised in 2026, up 3% year over year, while inspected turkey meat output is projected to rise 6% to 5.13 billion pounds. Domestic use is estimated to increase 4%, and export sales are also supporting demand; disease and feed costs remain risks for 2027.
Higher production expands turkey availability, while stronger domestic use and exports absorb some of the additional supply. Greater meat output may ease supply pressure, though demand strength and feed costs will influence producer margins and prices.
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