Finnish Russia-policy expert Arkady Moshes said Donald Trump has lost interest in Belarus following the U.S. midterm elections. Moshes assessed the chance of another visit to Minsk by U.S. envoy John Cole at one in five, citing the Baltic states’ refusal to open ports to Belarusian potash and the limited outcome of the previous visit.
The reported loss of momentum for a U.S.-Belarus deal makes near-term easing of restrictions on Belarusian potash exports less likely. Continued limits on Baltic transit could constrain export flows and support potash prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.