China’s average ex-farm price for DLY hogs was 8.60 yuan/kg on November 6, below the previous low recorded in April. Ample marketed supply, heavier slaughter weights, cash-flow-driven selling, frozen-pork releases, and weak demand are sustaining the downturn; African swine fever disruptions are also affecting some areas.
High hog availability and weak pork demand are bearish for hog prices and signal limited near-term feed demand from producers if losses persist. Faster liquidation could reduce future livestock numbers, but the immediate price pressure remains downward.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.