European gas prices fluctuated as optimism about winding down the US-Iran conflict was offset by concerns about low storage and faster withdrawals during colder weather. Storage withdrawals last week were nearly six times the prior week's level, while Qatar LNG loadings have increased but remain below pre-war volumes.
A reduction in geopolitical risk premium weighs on gas, but cold-driven demand, low inventories and constrained Gulf exports support prices and could keep energy costs elevated for feed producers. The opposing forces leave near-term price direction uncertain.
After 37 past neutral macro events, Natural Gas moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.2% to +12.9%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.