
Brent fell below $92 a barrel on Tuesday, reaching its lowest level since late August and losing 12.5% over the past week. WTI also declined, as hopes for a diplomatic resolution to the Middle East conflict eased concerns about oil-supply disruptions, though attacks on regional shipping continued.
The prospect of less conflict-related disruption is reducing the risk premium in crude markets, putting downward pressure on oil prices and potentially easing energy-related costs for feed buyers.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.