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Egyptian phosphate rock FOB offers at Damietta were listed at $56–58/ton for 25% P₂O₅, $66–68 for 26%, and $78–79 for 27%. Abu Tartur mine is operating, but its output is not being exported; Jordanian phosphate rock prices were broadly unchanged month on month.
A more positive outlook for phosphate rock could raise feedstock costs for phosphate fertilizers, although the stated Egyptian and Jordanian market prices suggest no immediate supply shock.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.