
An analyst forecasts that Ukrainian sunflower prices could recover by $50–70 per tonne in the second half of November through December, as seed exports and sunflower oil shipments pick up. The forecast also cites a 2026 crop of about 11–11.5 million tonnes, down from an initial estimate of around 13 million after unfavorable September weather; war risks and logistical constraints could limit the price rise.
A smaller crop and stronger export channels could tighten seed availability for processors and support sunflower-product values. Export and port constraints could curb that support.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.