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Ukrainian sunflower production costs of UAH 15,000–16,000 per tonne now match or exceed domestic prices, which fell to around UAH 15,000 per tonne by late October after halving over three months. Some farmers are leaving crops unharvested, while adverse weather has cut the harvest forecast to just over 11 million tonnes; processors are expected to need 10–10.5 million tonnes, with limited seed exports.
Low seed prices and high costs may discourage harvesting and future production, while processor demand near the size of the reduced crop could constrain available seed and support prices. The impact on sunflower oil also depends on how much seed processors can secure.
insights.tridge.comNov 9, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
