
A Rosario Grain Exchange review described strong export activity in Argentina’s major grain sectors alongside falling local prices, pressured by lower Chicago futures and ample domestic supplies. It highlighted a Brazilian wheat crop forecast down 27.2% to 5.73 million tonnes, supporting prospects for record Brazilian purchases of Argentine wheat, while Argentina’s corn carryover is projected at a record 14.4 million tonnes.
Brazil’s reduced wheat crop could increase demand for Argentine exports and support wheat prices. Argentina’s large corn carryover adds local supply and weighs on domestic corn prices.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.