USD/MXN edged down 0.23% to 18.5992 on Monday as Mexican inflation rose more than expected to 3.75% year over year in October. Crédit Agricole forecasts the exchange rate at 19.00 by end-2026 and 20.00 by end-2027, citing the reduced peso carry advantage after Banxico cut its policy rate to 6.25% and uncertainty over trade.
Lower Mexican interest rates and trade uncertainty may weaken the peso, raising the local-currency cost of imported feed and agricultural commodities. The firmer inflation reading may limit how far Banxico can cut rates, tempering that pressure.
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