The average cost of growing sunflower in Ukraine is estimated at UAH 15,000–16,000 per tonne, while domestic prices are leaving farmers with little or no profit. EXW prices fell by UAH 750 per tonne during October 23–30 and have halved over three months; analysts say exports to Bulgaria and Turkey may still be profitable, while some farmers may leave crops unharvested.
Weak farm-level margins and possible unharvested acreage could reduce sunflower supply, while export outlets provide a price floor. The squeezed grower margin alongside stronger processing margins may shift crop availability toward processors and exporters.
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