Indonesia exceeded its 2026 domestic rice procurement target, with Bulog buying more than 4.11 million tonnes by October 9 and national reserves peaking near 5.4 million tonnes. Despite daily market releases under the SPHP stabilization program, non-program medium rice in Central Java was reported as much as 11.11% above the government’s price ceiling.
Large public stocks and continued releases can add supply and restrain domestic rice prices, although prices above the ceiling indicate stabilization efforts have not fully eased market pressure.
After 100 past neutral policy events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -2.6% to +2.3%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.