On November 6, China’s main live-hog futures contract rose 0.60%, while the national spot average fell to 8.57 yuan/kg, below its April low. Abundant market hog supplies, weak slaughter demand and high frozen-pork stocks are weighing on prices; producers are reporting record losses in the current cycle.
The combination of ample near-term supply and soft demand is bearish for hog prices, despite the futures bounce. Breeding-sow reductions may eventually tighten supply, but the article says that effect could take about 10 months to reach market-ready hog numbers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.