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Ukraine’s sunflower crop estimate was cut from about 13 million tonnes to just over 11 million tonnes after unfavorable September weather, especially in western regions. Analyst Oleksiy Tartakivskyi expects prices to rise by $50–70 in the second half of November and December, though he sees a more realistic range of $350–370 per tonne excluding VAT; the model’s $400 forecast excludes military risks.
The smaller crop could tighten Ukrainian seed availability and support prices, while logistics and oil-export flows will influence how much supply reaches buyers. Reduced sunflower-oil availability may also affect European sourcing.
fingid.com.uaНаталія СавчукNov 8, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
