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The author argues that traders should take profits on short soybean positions after the 2026 U.S. growing season. Summer drought in parts of the western Corn Belt and flooding in the eastern Midwest raised crop-loss concerns, but the author says broader climate patterns and favorable conditions in other production areas did not point to a nationwide soybean disaster.
The argument against a nationwide crop loss limits the case for a weather-driven soybean price rally, while covering short positions could offer some support. The article provides no new supply estimate or market-moving weather development.
barchart.comJim RoemerNov 8, 2026After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
