Safras & Mercado raised its forecast for Brazil’s 2026/27 corn crop to a record 151.7 million tonnes, around 6 million tonnes above its August estimate. The revision reflects a larger projected planted area, especially in the North and Northeast, and an expected recovery in second-crop yields after weather-reduced production in 2026.
A larger projected harvest would increase expected corn availability in Brazil and potentially for export, weighing on corn prices if the forecast is realized.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.