
South Africa’s pork and poultry industries are facing overlapping biosecurity disruptions, including foot-and-mouth disease and African swine fever in pigs. Movement controls, quarantines and controlled slaughter have constrained supply, while pork prices have reached multi-year highs; poultry prices are also forecast to rise further in 2026.
Disease-related controls reduce available pork and poultry supplies, supporting higher prices and potentially shifting demand among competing proteins. This also increases pressure on feed buyers’ animal-protein procurement costs.
After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.