
The US dollar rose 0.42% on Friday to close at R$5.511, its highest closing level of 2026. US data showing 165,000 jobs added in October and unemployment falling to 4.1% supported expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated, while Brazilian fiscal uncertainty also weighed on the real.
A stronger dollar and weaker real can improve the price competitiveness of Brazilian exports but increase the local-currency cost of imported feed and other inputs.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.