
U.S. natural gas futures have been extremely volatile, surging the most on record a week earlier in an apparent short squeeze before falling 11% on Thursday. A measure of volatility reached its highest level since early 1996.
Freeze-offs at wells have been disrupting production.
Freeze-related production losses tighten near-term supply and drive the sharp price swings. Volatile gas prices raise energy and fertilizer cost uncertainty for feed buyers.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.