
The U.S.-led emergency release of oil from strategic reserves was smaller than the market had expected. Front-month Brent futures rose by more than $2.60 per barrel on Tuesday, their largest one-day gain in three months.
Prices had been trending lower since the start of the month before the rally.
A smaller-than-expected supply release removes the bearish shock traders had priced in, so crude prices rebounded. Higher crude lifts diesel and fertilizer costs and can support vegetable-oil and biofuel demand, which affects feed input costs.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.