
Oil fell about 2 percent on Thursday to its lowest level since the OPEC-led production cut deal, with WTI closing below $50 for the first time since mid-December. Record US crude inventories of 528.4 million barrels raised doubts about the effectiveness of the deal, and speculative long positions were unwound.
Record US stocks and unwinding of bullish bets point to continued pressure on crude, which lowers energy input costs for feed manufacturers.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.