
Recent bird flu outbreaks in the United States, including cases in Illinois and California, have affected more than two million birds and raised concerns about egg and poultry availability before the holiday season. The affected birds represent less than 0.5% of the country's table-egg laying flock, but regional sourcing constraints may complicate supply; the USDA's 2026 egg-price forecast does not yet account for the latest outbreaks.
Flock losses and regional sourcing requirements can constrain egg and poultry supply, supporting prices in affected markets, although the reported share of the national laying flock is small. Holiday demand could make localized shortages more consequential.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.