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The Purdue University/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer rose three points to 126 in October, as its current-conditions index improved by 16 points while future expectations slipped by two. The survey coincided with USDA ARC and PLC payments; farmers’ financial performance and capital investment indexes improved, but confidence in trade policy and the longer-term outlook remained weak.
Farm-program payments may support producers’ near-term cash flow, while trade-policy uncertainty and elevated costs can discourage investment and limit future production or input demand. The survey points to modest support for farm sentiment rather than a clear change in commodity supply or prices.
agdaily.comNov 5, 2026After 3,207 past report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,389 past report events, Soybeans moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 2,447 past report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
