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As of November 3, Ukrainian farmers had sown winter cereals on 4.45 million hectares, or 85.4% of the projected area. Wheat sowing stood at 87.1%, winter barley at 70.8%, and winter rapeseed exceeded plan at 104.2%.
Near-complete sowing with healthy rapeseed area supports Black Sea supply prospects for 2027, which tempers longer-term wheat and barley price gains.
insights.tridge.comNov 4, 2026After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
