The Bank of England voted 8-1 to raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.0%, with Catherine Mann dissenting in favour of 50 basis points. Governor Bailey said he could see the case for a further increase without an end to the Middle East conflict, and sterling rose 0.1% to $1.3480.
The hawkish split and conditional guidance point to a shallow tightening cycle, which affects currency and bond flows more than grain or oilseed prices. Energy-price dependence ties the outlook to the Middle East supply situation.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.