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MATIF rapeseed futures held broadly steady on 4 November 2026, with February 2027 at 528.00 EUR/t. ICE canola fell about 1.7–1.9% across key 2026/27 positions, while French FOB and Ukrainian physical quotations eased over the past three weeks.
Easing physical basis and comfortable nearby supply point to cautious crusher buying and weaker oilseed sentiment. Crush margins and competing vegetable oils will steer short-term direction more than weather.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.