
December natural gas futures settled at $2.707 per mmBtu, down 13.8 cents, after an EIA storage report showed a 78 Bcf injection versus a 67 Bcf five-year average. The build was above most analyst forecasts of about 81 Bcf median.
Mild weather expected into mid-November points to continued storage growth.
Storage builds running above average increase the inventory surplus and weigh on prices. Mild weather limiting heating demand keeps the bearish storage trend in place.
After 62 past bearish report events, Natural Gas moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -7.6% to +4.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.