Brazil's central bank held its benchmark Selic rate at 13.75% on Wednesday, ending a series of cuts that began in March. The decision was unanimous and matched the expectations of most economists polled by Reuters.
A hold amid fears of higher inflation after Lula's reelection points to tighter Brazilian borrowing costs and a firmer real, which can weigh on Brazilian feed demand and shift export competitiveness for soymeal and corn.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.