AUD/USD recovered above 0.7000 to near 0.7010 as the dollar weakened after the US midterm elections, but resistance near 0.7020 and moving averages between 0.7030 and 0.7056 limit upside. The RBA's 6-3 vote to lift the cash rate to 4.85% has reduced expectations for further hikes.
Currency moves here shape the cost of Australian-origin and US-priced feed ingredients for buyers. Technical resistance and reduced RBA hike odds suggest limited follow-through in the Aussie.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.