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The US Dollar Index fell 0.33% to 101.53 after the Democrats won the US midterm elections. CME FedWatch put the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike of at least 25 basis points in December at 81.2%, up from 77.4%.
A weaker dollar tends to support dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets, while expectations of further Fed tightening could strengthen the dollar again and limit that support.
vietnam.vnBáo Quân đội Nhân dânNov 4, 2026After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
