
Chicago wheat has fallen for nine straight weeks, losing more than 23%, with Kansas and Minneapolis wheat following lower. Russian grain vessels were allowed to leave the Sea of Azov for the first time since July, and the European Commission cut its EU maize output forecast to 47.0 million tonnes.
Reopened Russian export routes and rising Argentine new-crop competition add supply, while the EU maize cut is supportive for corn; net effect is pressure on wheat values for feed buyers.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.