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Rabobank expects Banxico to keep its overnight rate at 6.50% at its November 5 meeting and through 2027, even as the Federal Reserve is seen hiking. A narrowing rate differential has already weakened the peso, with USD/MXN having climbed from below 17 toward 19 after the September meeting.
A widening gap versus Fed policy keeps pressure on the peso, and a stronger dollar-to-peso rate raises the cost of Mexican imports while a stronger peso would reduce demand for Mexican agricultural exports.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.