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Banamex and BofA expect Banxico to hold its benchmark rate at 6.50% at its November 5 meeting, though a cut carries significant risk. The Mexico-US rate differential is at a record low of 250 basis points, and the peso has weakened from 16.9 to about 18.8 per dollar since September.
A possible Banxico rate cut could weaken the peso further, raising the cost of imported feed ingredients priced in dollars for Mexican buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.