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Commerzbank says South Africa's local elections and resulting coalition talks could affect national reform momentum. The US decision to remove AGOA preferences from next year also threatens key export sectors such as autos and agriculture.
Political uncertainty and reform risk weigh on the rand, raising the cost of imported feed ingredients priced in dollars for South African buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.