Tunisian phosphate and derivative exports rose 15% in 2025 after a 26.3% fall in 2024, according to the National Statistics Institute (INS). The government is pursuing a plan to lift phosphate output to 14 million tonnes by 2030, up from about 3.5 million tonnes in the last decade.
Tunisia is a modest phosphate and phosphoric acid exporter, so the rebound adds only marginal supply, though it is relevant amid the current global phosphate and sulfur tightness. The effect on feed-relevant prices is limited.
After 36 past neutral trade events, DAP moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.0% to +2.1%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.