
Argentina's sunflower planting for 2026/27 reached 58.7% of projected area as of October 28, above the five-year average. The USDA projects record Argentine production of 8 million tonnes, up from 7.61 million tonnes in 2025/26, though its area estimate of 3.5 million hectares differs from the Bolsa de Cereales estimate of 3.1 million.
A record Argentine crop would add sunflower meal and oil supply later in the season, a bearish factor for sunflower meal prices. Excess moisture, cold and bird damage are the risks that could trim that outlook.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.