Most Asian currencies rose on November 4 as the dollar weakened amid uncertainty over US midterm results. The Chinese yuan kept falling after Beijing acted to curb its recent rally.
The Australian dollar stayed near a two-week low after the RBA raised rates to 4.85%, a split 6-3 decision.
A weaker yuan can make Chinese purchases of US farm goods more expensive and affect demand for dollar-priced commodities. A softer dollar index tends to support commodity prices.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.