
A Congressional Research Service report estimates federal crop insurance premium subsidies reached about $15 billion in 2026, roughly 66% of total premiums. Combined federal costs for crop insurance and farm-bill programs are projected to average about $30.6 billion a year for fiscal 2027 through 2031.
The report notes that the 2025 reconciliation law reauthorized commodity support through the 2031 crop year.
Stable, well-funded crop insurance and commodity support encourages farmers to keep planting, which supports long-run feed grain and oilseed supply. The near-term price impact is small because the programs are already authorized.
After 1,623 past policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.