
The yuan has appreciated nearly 2 percent against the dollar in the week, reaching its strongest level since December 2015 onshore. Analysts attributed the rally to bearish dollar sentiment, tighter capital controls and expectations that Beijing will stabilise the currency before the 19th Party Congress.
A stronger yuan lowers the local-currency cost of imported soybeans and other feed inputs, which can support Chinese buying. The gain is driven mainly by currency sentiment rather than a change in feed supply or demand.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Attributes the rally to bearish dollar sentiment, tight capital controls and expected stabilization before the Party Congress, which are the demand-side drivers.